Franchise tag does not translate to long term deal, historically

Tyvon Branch photo IMG_8363-1.jpgRaiders GM Reggie McKenzie declined to use the franchise tag on either of his priority free agents, OT Jared Veldheer and Lamarr Houston, earlier this week.
 

With the team opting against using the Franchise tag, one or both players are now eligible to go to free agency, which starts next Tuesday. Using the Franchise tag on one would have guaranteed the player on the team for 2014 would not have meant the player would necessarily sign a long term deal from there.
 

In fact, looking at the history of the tag, it appears that signing franchise players to long term contracts was at or near a low this last season.
 

There are many reasons that this could be. Perhaps teams are coming to the realization that players are no more likely to sign a long term contract that they like in a year’s time than they are now. Perhaps it’s driven by the players wanting more and more to test a free agent market that can give them a large payday (this seems the most likely to me, especially with the salary cap bump).

In the moment, it’s always difficult to say what is happening. With hindsight, more of a pattern becomes clear and in the next few years, we will see if this is, indeed a pattern, or if 2013 was simply an aberration.

 

What was most surprising to me was that  more players that the team deemed good enough to franchise were not then signed to a long term contract. Over the last five seasons only 58%, or basically 6 of every 10 players, were signed to a multi-year contract by the team that franchised them.

Prior to looking into it, I would have expected a number much closer to 75% or 3 of every 4 players.

 

 Here is a list of the franchise players from the last five seasons. A * symbol before the name means the player and team eventually came to terms on a long term contract.

 

2013:

Safety Jairus Byrd, tagged by Buffalo

DT Henry Melton, tagged by Chicago

DE Michael Johnson, tagged by Cincinnati

LB Anthony Spencer, tagged by Dallas

*OT Ryan Clady, tagged by Denver

Punter Pat McAfee, tagged by Indianapolis

OT Branden Albert, tagged by Kansas City

1 of 7 (14%) received long-term deal (could go up)

 

2012:

*DE Calais Campbell, tagged by Arizona

CB Brent Grimes, tagged by Atlanta Falcons

*RB Ray Rice, tagged by Baltimore

*RB Matt Forte, tagged by Chicago

*Kicker Mike Nugent, tagged by Cincinnati

Kicker Phil Dawson, tagged by Cleveland

LB Anthony Spencer, tagged by Dallas

*Kicker Matt Prater, tagged by Denver

DE Cliff Avril, tagged by Detroit

*DE Robert Mathis, tagged by Indianapolis

*Kicker Josh Scobee, tagged by Jacksonville Jaguars

*WR Dwayne Bowe, tagged by Kansas City

WR Wes Welker, tagged by New England

*QB Drew Brees, tagged by New Orleans

*Punter Steve Weatherford, tagged by New York Giants

*Safety Tyvon Branch, tagged by Oakland

*WR DeSean Jackson, tagged by Eagles

Safety Dashon Goldson, tagged by San Francisco

*Kicker Connor Barth, tagged by Tampa Bay

*Safety Michael Griffin, tagged by Tennessee

TE Fred Davis, tagged by Washington

14 of 21 players (66%)

 

2011:

*LB Lamarr Woodley, franchised by Pittsburgh

*OG Logan Mankins, franchised by New England

*QB Michael Vick, franchised by Philadelphia

*LB David Harris, franchised by New York Jets

WR Vincent Jackson, franchised by San Diego

*DT Haloti Ngata, franchised by Baltimore

*QB Peyton Manning, franchised by Indianapolis

*Tamba Hali, franchised by Kansas City

*LB Chad Greenway, franchised by Minnesota

Kicker Phil Dawson, franchised by Cleveland

*Center Ryan Khalil, franchised by Carolina

*TE Marcedes Lewis, franchised by Jacksonville

OLB Kamerion Wimbley, franchised by Oakland

*DT Paul Soliali, franchised by Miami (only signed two year extension but we’ll count it)

11 of 14 players (79%)

 

2010:

DT Aubrayo Franklin, franchised by San Francisco

Kicker Olindo Mare, franchised by Seattle

*DT Ryan Pickett, franchised by Green Bay

Kicker Jeff Reed, franchised by Pittsburgh

*DT/DE Richard Seymour, franchised by Oakland

*DT Vince Wilfork, franchised by New England

3 of 6 players (50%)

 

2009:

*LB Karlos Dansby, franchised by Arizona

Punter Michael Koenen, franchised by Atlanta (only a 2 year contract extension)

*LB/DE Terrell Suggs, franchised by Baltimore

DE Julius Peppers, franchised by Carolina

Kicker Shayne Graham, franchised by Cincinnati

CB Dunta Robinson, franchised by Houston

QB Matt Cassell, franchised by New England

*RB Brandon Jacobs, franchised by New York Giants

*OT Max Starks, franchised by Pittsburgh

RB Darren Sproles, franchised by San Diego

*LB Leroy Hill, franchised by Seattle

*Safety Oshiomogho Atogwe, franchised by St Louis

WR Antonio Bryant, franchised by Tampa Bay

*Kicker Rob Bironas, franchised by Tennessee

7 of 14 players (50%)

Asher Mathews

About Asher Mathews

Head writer for TFDS Sports, covering the Oakland Raiders and NFL at large. Proud Purdue alum. Follow me on Twitter!

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